The ugly side of solar panels
New research shows, albeit unintentional, that generating electricity with solar panels can also be a very bad idea. In some cases, producing electricity by solar panels releases more greenhouse gases than producing electricity by gas or even coal.
(Picture: Sungazer)
Producing electricity from solar cells reduces air pollutants and greenhouse gases by about 90 percent in comparison to using conventional fossil fuel technologies, claims a study to be published this month in “Environmental Science & Technology”. Good news, it seems, until one reads the report itself. The researchers come up with a solid set of figures. However, they interpret them in a rather optimistic way.
Solar panels don’t come falling out of the sky – they have to be manufactured. Similar to computer chips, this is a dirty and energy-intensive process. First, raw materials have to be mined: quartz sand for silicon cells, metal ore for thin film cells. Next, these materials have to be treated, following different steps (in the case of silicon cells these are purification, crystallization and wafering). Finally, these upgraded materials have to be manufactured into solar cells, and assembled into modules. All these processes produce air pollution and heavy metal emissions, and they consume energy - which brings about more air pollution, heavy metal emissions and also greenhouse gases.
Energy mix
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"The optimistic conclusions of the researchers are based on a life expectancy of 30 years and solar insolation in the Mediterranean"
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Solar insolation
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"Surprisingly, the key data of the calculation (the amount of CO2 emitted per square meter of solar panels) are nowhere to found in the report"
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2 to 20 flights
Once calculated, it's not so suprising that the researchers choose not to write these figures down. In the best case scenario, one square meter of solar cells carries a burden of 75 kilograms of CO2. In the worst case scenario, that becomes 314 kilograms of CO2. With a solar insolation of 1,700 kWh/m²/yr an average household needs 8 to 10 square meters of solar panels, with a solar insolation of 900 kWh/m²/yr this becomes 16 to 20 square meters. Which means that the total CO2 debt of a solar installation is 600 to 3,140 kilograms of CO2 in sunny places, and 1,200 to 6,280 kilograms of CO2 in less sunny regions. These numbers equate to 2 to 20 flights Brussels-Lissabon (up and down, per passenger) - source CO2 emissions Boeing 747.
"Solar panels mounted on gadgets are completely insane"
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According to the researchers, producing the same amount of electricity by fossil fuel generates at least 10 times as much greenhouse gasses. Checking different sources, this claim is confirmed: 1 kilowatt-hour of electricity generated by fossil fuels indeed emits 10 times as much CO2 (around 450 grams of CO2 per kWh for gas and 850 for coal). Solar panels might be far from an ideal solution, but they are definitely a better choice compared to electricity generated by fossil fuels. At least if we follow the assumptions chosen by the researchers.
Northward
If we combine this lower solar insolation with an expected lifetime of only 15 years, the worst case scenario becomes 207 grams of CO2 per kilowatt-hour – just 2 times better than gas. Agreed, this is the worst case scenario, and even in that case solar panels are still a better choice than fossil fuels. But it becomes quite hard to describe them as a “clean” source of fuel.
This map (click to enlarge) shows the amount of solar energy in hours, received each day on an optimally tilted surface during the worst month of the year. For a more detailed view of solar insolation (in kWh/m²/yr) see the links above.
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"A better strategy would be to use already available solar panels to produce more solar panels"
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Life expectancy
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"All this does not mean that PV solar energy should not be promoted. But some facts have to be faced"
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If we take a life expectancy of 3 years (already quite optimistic for most gadgets) and a solar insolation of 900 kWh/m² (quite optimistic too, since these things are not lying on a roof), the result is 1,038 gram CO2 per kWh in the worst case scenario (high-efficient mono-crystalline cells produced in the That means that it is better for the environment to power a gadget with electricity generated by coal, rather than by a solar panel.
Now what?
First, solar cells are far from a zero emission technology. Two: solar panels can be a doubtful choice in less sunny regions. Three: solar panels mounted on gadgets are completely insane. Four: solar cells should be recycled. Five: some law or incentive should be introduced to guarantee a life expectancy of 30 years. And if possible, solar thermal power should have priority over solar PV power.
Use solar panels to produce solar panels
A better strategy would be to use already available solar panels to produce more solar panels. The scientists calculated that the ecological burden of solar panels can be halved if 100 percent of energy in the factories would be delivered by solar energy.
© Kris De Decker (edited by Vincent Grosjean)
Comments (29) / (*) in the text, “CO2” stands for CO2-equivalents (which means other greenhouse gases are included).
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Updates :
1. "You’re heartsick about global warming, so you’ve just paid $25,000 to put a solar system on the roof of your home. How do you respond to news that it was manufactured with a chemical that is 17,000 times stronger than carbon dioxide as a cause of global warming?"
2. "Toward a just and sustainable solar energy industry", A Silicon Valley Toxics Coalition White Paper (January 14, 2009) (pdf, 1.2 mb). An overview of the toxic chemicals used for the production of solar panels.
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(29)
what the HELL is with the bizarre assumption that heating silicon to 1800F ( whatever /that/ is, in Centigrade :) need be done with "nucular" or fossil fuels??
USE A SOLAR CONCENTRATOR.
Dear Bloody Kripes, people: Cheap, Available, and Effective.
WHERE does all that eco-cost come from??
Assumptions?
Posted by: Captain Obvious | April 25, 2009 at 12:23 AM
(28)
I would suggest we give a good long studied look into the energy production values of how a magnetic spinning disc could generate energy uinto a generator similar to the ones that wind turbines are generating but with higher friction values for higher electric output from the powerful spin that can be caused by rare earth magnets in specific allignments
Posted by: Hans Jergenofski | April 09, 2009 at 01:09 AM
(27)
Fascinating argument back and forth for a lay person such as myself. I was simply googling for manufacturing articles for solar as a prospective business to get into. Wow! What a summation of information. Thanks for sharing.
Posted by: Amber Fergason | February 26, 2009 at 07:07 PM
(26)
Too bad you need nuclear and oil to produce the solar panels
Posted by: kris de decker | December 19, 2008 at 01:14 AM
(25)
I'll take the ugly side of solar over the ugly side of nuclear and oil any day.
Posted by: pewp | December 19, 2008 at 01:08 AM
(24)
Great article, glad to see it, don't let the DAs get you down. I too am an enthusiast for sustainability who is critical of thoughtless cheerleading. Photovoltaics are, unfortunately, a sexy but less-than-perfect answer, as is wind. There are those who like to see the world in a black-and-white, us-vs-them, all-or-nothing mindset, be it for their favorite political candidate, their environmental cause do jour, or their energy solution.
Having just visited Germany, I can tell you that things are worse than you make out here. I don't agree with Martin that the blue panels deface (I think they're kind of cool looking against the traditional reds and browns), but I did see lots of people planting them on their ultra-steep roofs (much more than the latitude) and pointing them in whatever direction the house seemed to face on the street side (north, east, south, whatever). I think the goal was to impress the neighbors rather than to generate energy, and why not? The government is paying for it! I asked a friend if he knew how many cloudless days they got - it happened to be overcast with high clouds at the time and he (only partly in jest) said, "You mean sunny like this? Because this is as close as it gets."
Posted by: Eric H | October 10, 2008 at 10:09 PM
(23)
While this article has some valid points, its arguments are now obsolete. Using a new nanotechology based ink, NanoSolar corporation is producing 100's of feet of solar panel per minute. No foundries, no highly toxic metals. No need for huge amounts of energy consumption (CO2) like with crystalline silicon cells. The new ink based panels cost a tiny fraction of silicon. This technology is going to change the world as we know it.
I've built solar panels by hand and while I can't vouch for the numbers in this article, there are most certainly environmental negatives that come with using silicon cells. I was poisoned when I handled silicon cells without gloves and I'm still dealing with the effects of that experience.
Posted by: Jerry | July 02, 2008 at 04:53 AM
(22)
Renewable Energy Manufactures/suppliers should use their own product to manufacture.
The manufacturers’ of Solar Panels and other forms of renewable energy with related support products manufactures/suppliers - should have at least the decency to practice what they preach what they market to the public.
That would be the best marketing approach I can think off.
If they believe in the product, they should utilize it to its fullest potential.
It will give the manufacturer the actual experience of utilizing the product on a daily basis, view and experience any improvements that are needed, implement the improvements and capitalize on that improvement to improve the product and its performance.
This will instill confidence in the public to purchase the product.
Jay Draiman, Energy Analyst
Posted by: Jay Draiman | June 27, 2008 at 06:04 AM
(21)
If you would read more than one article on this website, you would realise how ridiculous your accusation sounds. You, on the other hand, are paid by the renewable energy industry.
And if you send cowardly comments like this without mentioning even a pseudonym or an e-mail adress, you should remember that your ISP shows up in the web traffic analysis - especially relevant when you send "anonymous" comments from the server at your job.
Posted by: Kris De Decker | June 19, 2008 at 04:55 PM
(20)
you must be paid by the Oil industry.
you are spreading lies.
Posted by: DC Power Systems | June 18, 2008 at 01:11 AM
(19)
Mr. Fthenakis, you don’t say anything about the chosen solar insolation?
The conclusions of your study are that “at least 89% of air emissions associated with electricity generation could be prevented if electricity from photovoltaics displaces electricity from the grid”.
That is a deceptive message since it implies a solar insolation of 1,700 kWh/m²/yr, which is everything but self-evident. Germany, for example, the world leader in solar PV power, has much less sun than that.
If I would have been one of those expert peer reviewers, I would have advised you to attach the following sentence to your conclusions: “...if the solar insolation is 1,700 kWh/m²/yr”. You know damn well that most media don’t get further than the summary.
The 3 year life expectancy mentioned in the article concerns gadgets like mobile phones and laptops, not rooftop panels. You should read the text carefully.
Yes, my surname sounds very different from yours. So what?
Posted by: Kris De Decker | March 15, 2008 at 01:16 AM
(18)
Kris De Decker exhibits great ignorance about PV technology and life cycle impacts with his comments. The study in ES&T that he cites, undertook year-long independent expert peer reviews before it was accepted for publication by this most prestigious journal. Just a couple of remarks to some of his points that deserve an answer. Degradation losses of 0.5% to 1% /yr are included in our studies; the low number is confirmed by utility (e.g., TEP, AZ) records and the utility posts on the web daily perfomance of their biggest plant Springerville). The numbers of gCO2/kWh that De Decker (is this a real name?) demonizes us for not showing!! are intermiadiate numbers in a LCA. The final numbers with which PV can be compared with nuclear and fossil are g CO2/kWh. The former can easily be backcalculated from the later.
His assumptions about 3 yr life expectancies are rediculous. PV flat modules have confirmed lifes of 30 yrs and their structures can well last 60 yrs, but consevatively, we used 30 yrs for both.
Dr. Vasilis Fthenakis
Brookhaven National Lab and Columbia University
Posted by: Vasilis Fthenakis | March 15, 2008 at 12:00 AM
(17)
Speaking of toxic chemicals -- there is a story on Grist linking to this page and to an article in the Washington Post, called "Solar energy firms leave waste behind in China". An excerpt:
"Because of the environmental hazard, polysilicon companies in the developed world recycle the compound, putting it back into the production process. But the high investment costs and time, not to mention the enormous energy consumption required for heating the substance to more than 1800 degrees Fahrenheit for the recycling, have discouraged many factories in China from doing the same."
As one reader comments on Grist: "This is not a problem of technological feasability but of social irresponsibility. This isn't like nuclear energy which produces a waste no tech can deal with".
And that's correct, but it shows again that PV has potential negative sides, and they should be accepted if we want it to be a solution instead of a new problem.
http://www.grist.org/news/2008/03/10/solar/
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/03/08/AR2008030802595.html
Posted by: Kris De Decker | March 11, 2008 at 02:53 PM
(16)
Actually, having worked in the semiconductor industry, I was happy to see somebody perform this analysis. I always wondered if the energy going into producing those solar panals was more than what came out. I was actually worried that they might take more energy to make them than they produce! Fortunately this turned out not to be the case -- but there are other concerns. Manufacturing of the panels does use huge amounts of water (this depends on the specific process used to make the panels, but it could be as high as a 1000 gallons per sq. ft. Also, there are a host of toxic chemicals used in the proces as well which might make solar less attractive. Of couse, non VC based systems are much better over all.
Posted by: BCL | March 11, 2008 at 02:17 PM
(15)
Ron: everybody makes mistakes. The fact that I fess up, might be a reason to trust me and accept the conclusions that stand up. If not, prove me wrong.
The scientists come to their conclusions starting with a solar insolation of 1700 kWh/m²/yr and a life expectancy of 30 years. You don't have to be a mathematician to conclude that the results are 4 times worse when you halve both the solar insolation and the life expectancy.
I saw quite some blogs and science magazines just posting the 89 percent advantage of solar energy, because they did not bother reading the paper. At least, this news should be accompanied by the fact that it is based on two subjective assumptions, no?
Posted by: Kris De Decker | March 11, 2008 at 02:16 PM
(14)
Would I trust any conclusions drawn by someone who blithely makes a mistake of 2 orders of magnitude? (That said, I do appreciate that you fessed up!)
I would prefer to resort to the conclusion of the folks who wrote the original article on which this opinion piece is based:
"At least 89% of air emissions associated with electricity generation could be prevented if electricity from photovoltaics displaces electricity from the grid." See http://pubs.acs.org/cgi-bin/abstract.cgi/esthag/asap/abs/es071763q.html
Posted by: Ron Swenson | March 11, 2008 at 01:00 PM
(13)
Rushing through the article, I reflect on the idea that solar cells might become dramatically cheaper to produce in a few decades due to materials research and production technologies. Solar cells tend to diminish output over time, but still can be productive with a fractional output. They might be useful for hundreds of years if sufficient real-estate exists to recycle them as low-yield units where possible. Design technologies already exist that greatly extend the output of cells, by external focusing of sunlight on cells and the use of susbstrate cooling systems. I remember a member of my computer club some thirty years ago who went on to wealth and fame in part for his self-focusing cell systems that achieved a record for output for given parameters (Midway Labs, 1980's). Unfortunately, Paul Collard did not fully appreciate the importance of cooling systems to preempt premature aging and his systems succumbed to declining output in only a year or two. However, new experimental systems are promising. Don't write them off completely. You might be disappointed.
Lots of research:
http://www.redrok.com/main.htm
Posted by: jim | March 11, 2008 at 02:58 AM
(12)
Andy, thanks a lot, you are right.
The lifetime electricity generation = efficiency x solar insolation x performance ratio x lifetime
My calculation (for the best case scenario) was: 9 x 1,700 x 0.8 x 30 = 367,200 kWh/m²
Of course, it should be:
0.09 x 1,700 x 0.8 x 30 = 3,672 kWh/m²
Unfortunately, that does not change the conclusions of the article, since I overestimated both C02-emissions and electricity generation.
But it does mean that the number of intercontinental flights is hugely overestimated. The C02 cost of 1m² of solar panels is not (in the best case scenario) 7,527 kg but 75 kg. And in the worst case scenario it is not 31,416 kg but 314 kg.
Thanks. Can I hire you as a proof reader? :)
Posted by: Kris De Decker | March 10, 2008 at 02:27 PM
(11)
I think that you should check your calculations. They looked a bit suspect to me because the amount of energy used to make the panels would cost more than the wholesale price of panels. So I checked:
Looking at the best case scenario, you say that a square metre of solar panel will cause 7,527 kg of emissions, given an emission intensity of 20.5 g/Kwh. That implies that the panel generates 7,527/0.0205 Kwh over its 30 year life time (the 30 years comes from the study).
7,527/0.0205 Kwh = 367,170 over 30 years.
That's 367,170/30 = 12,239 Kwh/ year - not bad, but sadly not possible given a solar intensity of 1700 Kwh/year.
Posted by: Andy Simpson | March 09, 2008 at 11:52 PM
(10)
What's the use of sending me this link? It's the same page that I am linking to in the article, it's the same study we are talking about here. So what's your point then? Just believe whatever the experts say and shut up?
Posted by: Kris De Decker | March 09, 2008 at 07:46 PM
(9)
http://pubs.acs.org/cgi-bin/sample.cgi/esthag/asap/html/es071763q.html
"... Overall, all PV technologies generate far less life-cycle air emissions per GWh than conventional fossil-fuel-based electricity generation technologies. At least 89% of air emissions associated with electricity generation could be prevented if electricity from photovoltaics displaces electricity from the grid."
Posted by: A concerned Reader | March 09, 2008 at 03:54 PM
(8)
Having followed the solar industry for over 40 years, I'll make a few observations. First, solar thermal for large installations is 2-3 times as efficient as photovoltaics AND uses far less materials. It is also very easy to build energy storage into thermal systems. Second, there is a class of gadgets where photovoltaics is just about perfect. Those are remote sensing and sparsely populated operations. The solar panel/cell phone/gell battery kiosk for emergancy phones is a good example of the latter. Installing them along I5 in California cost 1/4 as much as a wired system and that included building the cell towers and relays.
In the middle ground, powering homes and businesses, the cost effectiveness of solar depends strongly on the ability to push excess power back into the grid. Home power loads are seriously out of sync with supply. My peak loads are at night in mid-winter. At noon in the summer, I need almost nothing.
Posted by: david_42 | March 08, 2008 at 03:17 PM
(7)
A message to the guys at fark.com, calling me an "idiot" and an "asshole" :
Obviously, some of you didn’t get further than the three first words of the headline. I did not write that solar panels are a bad idea (except for gadgets), nor that we should burn coal or build more nuclear plants instead. However, being an advocate of solar energy myself for years, I was shocked by the amount of energy needed for the manufacture of one square meter of solar cells – and by the fact that the authors of the study try to hide that. Yes, solar energy is the future, among other renewables, but I think these figures show that it might be better to use solar panels where there is as much sun as possible. In deserts, solar insolation can be 6,000 kWh/m²/yr, and more. That makes solar cells 40 times more eco-friendly than burning fossil fuels.
Posted by: Kris De Decker | March 08, 2008 at 01:08 PM
(6)
Its great to see both sides of an arguement. I generally agree with the conclusions, but I think we should consider the longer term future and not focus so much on current limitations of what is still a relatively immature technology.
As with any new technology, PV will become more efficient, cheaper and cleaner to produce. In order for this to happen we (Governments / NGOs / Individuals) need to invest more time and money into making PV viable, e.g. through regulations, technical standards, R&D, manufacturing processes and generating consumer demand.
As more electricity is generated from PV (and other renewable sources), the manufacturing of such technology will become less carbon-intensive.
In terms of using PV for gadgets, I agree its difficult to justify over such a short life expactancy. However, this will change as manufacturing costs / carbon emissions decrease and efficiencies increase. I do have a problem with the manufacturers of these gadgets as they intentionally design their products to last such short periods - this is where regulations should be put in place for increasing life expectacy and making the manufacturers responsible for the disposal of 'old' products.
Posted by: Joe | March 08, 2008 at 02:21 AM
(5)
Before jumping to the conclusion that gadgets should be "powered by electricity from coal," I think one needs to examine the CO2 costs of the *batteries* almost all gadgets use to store power. And the often-inefficient transformers that are used to charge those batteries. For a desktop calculator, at least, the PV modules are often *in place* of batteries. If other devices can have smaller batteries by adding solar panels for more frequent recharging, the CO2 cost might go down ... probably not enough to pay itself back in the three-year lifespan of the device, but perhaps bringing it out of the "insane" level.
Maybe most gadgets with PV have the same size batteries as if they had no PV, but to assume that you can attach a coal plant directly to your cellphone (or even to a land line telephone, which has lots of batteries at the telco) seems like jumping to conclusions too quickly.
I don't have PV on my house yet ... first has been a reduction to 60 kWh/mo of electricity, now is installing a 1.6 GPM shower head, and next will be a solar thermal collector to heat the house and water (I still consume at least 10 therms of gas each month in the cooler months).
Posted by: Soren | March 07, 2008 at 12:35 AM
(4)
"Style remains a matter of taste". I am German, and I know the are around Bodensee. Its one of the most beautiful places in Germany. I do not see the solar panels as an disadvantage, in terms of messing up the scenery. I rather see it as an advance in time. Want to have some wood/clay/tarsheet tiles to absorb or reflect the light, or to use it wisely to regain the energy? Mr. Cleaver, its your brain playing a trick on you. What you consider nice, might appear dirty to others. Apart from that, there are other type of solar panels coming up. Translucent ones as brown/red and black are available. Only a matter of time.
The article seems quite one sided. Comparing the "worst case solar scenario" (old panels, bad location, little use) to best case gas. And still points out that it would only be twice as little CO2. Trying to write good things to be bad. Imagine a car would produce 50g of CO2 instead of 100g, by giving the same distance and power of engine... It would be a breaker...
Posted by: Frank Schanzenbächer | March 06, 2008 at 07:26 PM
(3)
That's not the only "ugly side" so solar panels. I am a great believer in the benefits of solar energy and other alternatives to oil, but a recent journey through Southern Germany made me think. Many picturesque old villages around the Bodensee are now defaced by huge shiney dark-blue panels. Whole farmhouses have been hidden behind them. Surely someone could pay a little attention to the aestetics of things. Just because it's "Good for the Earth" doesn't excuse "Bad Taste". Please will someone look into alternatives? Say - slate grey, terracotta bronze?
Just plastering our world full of ugly blue sheets is not the answer. :(
Martin
Posted by: Martin Cleaver | March 06, 2008 at 11:53 AM
(2)
Efficiency and size don't matter. The problem with gadgets is their short life expectancy and the amount of solar insolation they receive. It takes some years before a roof-top mounted solar panel delivers as much energy as was needed to produce it. This so-called "energy payback time" depends on the type of solar cell and the amount if sunlight it receives. The problem with gadgets is that they don't receive much sun (they are not mounted on a roof to absorb all available light) and thet their life expectancy is at best 2 or 3 years. That means they will be discarded before the solar cell had the chance to produce more energy than was needed to produce it.
Posted by: Kris De Decker | March 04, 2008 at 10:17 AM
(1)
Very interesting article indeed… Even when "The ugly side of solar panels" is maybe a little extreme, it is true that the carbon footprint of manufacturing any piece of technology cannot be neglected.
Maybe I've skipped over some section, because even when I think I understand the logic for no solar panels in gadgets (low efficiency of small panels, while manufacturing cost increases per square cm), maybe it should be more explicitly expressed.
Posted by: JuandeSant | March 03, 2008 at 11:10 PM